Exit polls had predicted NDA victory in 2004, 2009, but UPA formed govt

coastaldigest.com news network
May 19, 2019

The exit polls have a history of underplaying the United Progressive Alliance (UPA), while it has historically overplayed the National Democratic Alliance’s (NDA) performance.

In 2004, the average of the exit polls had predicted 252 seats for the then incumbent NDA, giving it yet another term at the center, and 186 seats for the UPA. 

However, in the actuals, UPA ended up forming the government with 219 seats to its kitty, while the Atal Bihari Vajpayee-led NDA, with 187 seats ended up occupying the opposition benches. 

The analysis reveals that the exit polls had overplayed the NDA’s performance by 25.8% back then while underplaying the UPA’s performance by 17.7%.

Again in 2009, when incumbent UPA returned to power, the exit polls had predicted a loss of seats for UPA. However, UPA ended up with a huge gain in the number of seats. Back then, the exit polls had predicted that UPA’s tally to diminish to 196 seats. 

However, the coalition, in reality, won 262 seats, a variation of whopping 33.67%. On the other hand, NDA, which exit polls expected to gain turf, won 159 seats against predicted 187 seats – overplaying the performance by 14.97%.

In 2014, when the country was riding on huge Modi-wave, though the exit polls got their directions right, yet they were completely off the mark when it came to the victory margin of NDA, like many other political pundits. While the exit polls gave NDA 274 seats, it ended up with 336 seats, a variation of 22.7%. On the other hand, the exit polls predicted 115 seats for the UPA, which faced a complete rout ending up with 60 seats.

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News Network
March 13,2024

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An LPG tanker overturned on the Bengaluru-Mangaluru National Highway 75 on Wednesday morning. 

According to police, the tanker overturned at a curve near Double Turn, on Shiradi Ghat road, in Sakleshpur taluk, as the driver lost control.

As there was LPG leakage due to the mishap, the authorities have closed the highway for vehicular movement, as a precautionary measure.

The Fire and Emergency Services personnel and police were rushed to the spot and taken precautionary measure to prevent any fire mishap.

Several vehicles have been stranded midway as the police have closed the road for traffic.

The police have been diverting vehicles plying between Bengaluru-Hassan-Mangaluru, Mangaluru-Hassan-Bengaluru on alternative routes.

According to Deputy Commissioner C Sathyabhama, the vehicular movement has been banned on NH-75, until Wednesday midnight.

The DC's order stated that the vehicle moving from Sakleshpur to Mangaluru will have to pass through Sakleshpur-Hanubalu-Mudigere to reach Mangaluru.

The vehicles from Bengaluru to Mangaluru will pass via Hassan-Bhuvanahalli Cross-Belur. The vehicles from Mangaluru to Bengaluru are diverted via Suliya-Sampaje route. 

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Media Release
March 7,2024

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Mangaluru: The Montessori Graduation Day Ceremony 2024 at The Shepherds’ International Academy was a testament to the remarkable achievements and aspirations of its Montessori graduates. With the theme "Celebrate endings — for they precede new beginnings" echoing throughout the event, the ceremony encapsulated the spirit of transition and growth. The ceremony was held on Saturday 2nd March 2024 at HIF Auditorium, Vaslane Mangaluru.

The event commenced with an invigorating speech by the Master of Ceremonies Ms Qizra Noorain, expressing gratitude and excitement for the graduates' accomplishments. As the graduates walked down the red carpet, led by the school principal Ms Lubna Banu welcoming the Chief Guest Shri H R Eshwar BEO of South Block Mangaluru, Chairman Architect Mohammad Nisaar and Gen. Secretary Mr. Mohammed Rizwan Pandeshwar followed by Little Graduates, the audience erupted in applause, acknowledging the dedication and perseverance of the young graduates.

The Chief Guest, Shri H R Eshwar, lauded the graduates for their resilience and determination, emphasizing the importance of education in shaping the future. His insightful words resonated with the audience, inspiring them to embrace new opportunities and challenges.

Throughout the ceremony, students showcased their talents through songs and shared their experiences, reflecting on their journey at the Montessori school.  The Montessori Graduation certificates were handed out by the Dignitaries on the Stage along with a take away gifts to the little graduates.

The highlight of the event was the heartfelt testimonials from parents, underscoring the profound impact of Montessori education on their children's growth and development. Chairman Mohammad Nissar urged parents to continue supporting their children's educational journey and encouraged Parents & Staff to to motivate their Children to continue their further studies, he also acknowledged their invaluable contributions to the school's success. Trustees Naushad A.K. and S.M. Farooq were present.

Mr. Mohammed Rizwan expressed gratitude to parents for their unwavering support and offered words of encouragement to both students and parents as they embark on new endeavors.

As the ceremony concluded with the national anthem, the SIA Montessori Graduation Day 2024 left an indelible mark, celebrating the achievements of the graduates while heralding the dawn of new beginnings.

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News Network
March 11,2024

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Bengaluru, Mar 11: Senior Congress leader and Home Minister G Parameshwara on Monday said there are discussions in the party about seven to eight state ministers contesting the upcoming Lok Sabha polls in Karnataka.

He added that the party will most likely finalise the candidates for the 28 Lok Sabha segments after gauging who among the current stable of ministers will agree to contest in the 'interest of the party'.

"There are discussions that seven to eight Ministers should contest, among the ministers. Whoever agrees in the interest of the party, they will be fielded. There may be some clarity on it after today's meeting (of the screening committee)," Parameshwara told reporters here.

Asked about Social Welfare Minister H C Mahadevappa not willing to contest, he said, "He (Mahadevappa) is saying that he doesn't want to contest and the ticket be given to his son. Party will ultimately decide whether it will be Mahadevappa or his son or someone else. He cannot be pressured if he doesn't want to (contest)."

Efforts are on to pacify those upset or disgruntled about selection of candidates, to ensure that they work in the party's interest, he said, adding that 'such things are common during polls'.

Congress has announced candidates for seven seats of Karnataka in the first list. Interestingly, Congress' first list did not have names of any of the ministers and legislators, amid reports that they are reluctant to fight the Lok Sabha polls.

According to party sources, the Congress leadership has been making efforts to convince some ministers and lawmakers to contest, as they have faced problems in identifying winnable candidates in several segments.

The Ministers instead are said to be pushing for the candidature of their family members to 'ensure' the party's victory in their respective segments, and according to sources, the leadership seem to be worried about the message it may send out if their kin are fielded.

Meanwhile, state Congress President and Deputy Chief Minister D K Shivakumar said the party's screening committee will meet today evening to finalise the candidates.

"We are meeting in the evening, we don't have the rights to announce the candidate. We will send it to Delhi, the Central Election Committee will meet there and may accept or reject our recommendation. They may add names into the list on their own and announce," he said.

On some Ministers like Mahadevappa and K H Muniyappa not keen on contesting the polls, he said, "do you know about it? I don't know, haven't spoken to them."

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