New Delhi, Apr 18: Indian Meteorological Department on Tuesday predicted normal southwest monsoon in 2017 when rainfall for the entire country in the whole season (June-September) would be 96% of the long term average.
According to the April forecast from the met department, there is 38% probability of the monsoon being near normal.
“The monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 96% of the long period average (LPA) with a model error of 5% on either side,” IMD director general K J Ramesh said here.
India's long period monsoon average is 88 cm, which means that the country as a whole is likely to receive 88 cm of rainfall between June and September.
India experienced two consecutive rain-deficient years in 2014 and 2015 due to El Nino, an unusual warming of the Pacific Ocean that plays havoc with the weather around the world.
The previous year was a surplus rain year. IMD makes its forecast on the basis of two sets of mathematical models. The April forecast would be upgraded in June.
Southwest Monsoon will be 'normal' this year, predicts IMD