
The monsoon is expected to arrive in Coastal Karnataka within a couple of days after entering Kerala on June 5, sources from the Indian Meteorological Department said.
As the onset date comes with an error margin of four days on either side, the monsoon's entry into the mainland may happen anytime in the first week of June. The normal date for monsoon onset in Kerala is June 1.
“Monsoon is expected in the Andaman and Nicobar islands by May 20. Afterwards, it will be a little delayed,” Pune-based monsoon forecaster Shivanand Pai said. The date is predicted based on a six-parameter statistical model.
The weather agency also said conditions have become favourable for advance of southwest monsoon over south Andaman sea and southeast Bay of Bengal in the next 48 hours. “The subsequent delay is a minor one,” said another IMD scientist.
Last month, the IMD forecast “below-normal” monsoon in 2014 as the expected precipitation is 95 per cent of the average rainfall. The forecast will be upgraded in June, taking into account the progress made in the march of monsoon over the landmass.


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