Currency supply still below 50% of pre-note ban days

January 15, 2017

New Delhi, Jan 15: Almost 10 weeks after Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the demonetisation of high-value banknotes on November 8, there are no signs of a recovery on the cash-availability front.

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The dramatic downward trend of the currency liquidity situation, triggered by the demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000, valued at around Rs. 15.44 lakh crore, has continued, despite the government’s claims to the contrary.

Latest weekly data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday revealed that the currency in circulation as on January 6 was just over 49% of the volume of money that was with the public four days before Modi announced the demonetisation drive.

As against Rs. 17.74 lakh crore that was in circulation on November 4 last year, the money in circulation on January 6 was Rs 8.73 lakh crore, according to the data.

The figures reveal that the money in circulation has continuously dropped week after week since early November. There is no recovery yet to regain even levels close to the pre-demonetisation days.

Experts familiar with the situation told DH that the recovery depended on the capacity to print new notes and then effectively distribute them across the country through banking channels.

On both the fronts, there have been severe limitations so far, they added.

In view of the sharp decrease in the availability of cash in the economy, the RBI is yet to ease the existing rules on the post-demonetisation restrictions on cash withdrawals from banks and ATMs.

The experts said, going by the trend so far, it will take at least eight to 10 weeks to restore a semblance of normalcy with regard to currency circulation, after the first signs of recovery are available.

Unless the currency circulation vastly improves, experts feel that the economy will not recover. The government and international banks have already pegged down the GDP growth figures. However, they said that the currency circulation need not be restored to the Rs 17.74 lakh crore of the pre-demonetisation period.

“There was a portion of black money hoarded in cash... Most of that has now entered the banking system in the form of deposits made with demonetised banknotes,” one expert said.

In view of this, it is reckoned that a new currency normalcy could be achieved with a circulation level of around Rs 2 lakh crore below the pre-demonetisation level of circulation.

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News Network
April 26,2024

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The Supreme Court of India on Friday, April 26, rejected pleas seeking 100% cross-verification of votes cast using EVMs with a Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) and said “blindly distrusting” any aspect of the system can breed unwarranted scepticism.

A bench of Justices Sanjiv Khanna and Dipankar Datta delivered two concurring verdicts. It dismissed all the pleas in the matter, including those seeking to go back to ballot papers in elections.

An EVM comprises three units – the ballot unit, the control unit and the VVPAT. All three are embedded with microcontrollers with a burnt memory from the manufacturer. Currently, VVPATs are used in five booths per assembly constituency.

EVM VVPAT case: Supreme Court issues two directives

1.    Justice Khanna directed the Election Commission of India to seal and store units used to load symbols for 45 days after the symbols have been loaded to electronic voting machines in strong rooms.

2.    The Supreme Court also allowed engineers of the EVM manufacturers to verify the microcontroller of the machines after the declaration of the results at the request of candidates who stood second and third. The top court said the request for the verification of the microcontroller can be made within seven days of the declaration of the results after payment of fees.

Option for candidates to seek verification of EVM programmes

•    Candidates who secure second and third position in the results can request for the verification of burnt memory semicontroller in 5% of the EVMs per assembly segment in a Parliamentary constituency. The written request to be made within seven days of the declaration of the results.

•    *On receiving such a written request, the EVMs shall be checked and verified by a team of engineers from the manufacturer of the EVMs.

•    Candidates should identify the EVMs to be checked by a serial number of the polling booth.

•    Candidates and their representatives can be present at the time of the verification.

•    After verification, the district electoral officer should notify the authenticity of the burnt memory.

•    Expenses for the verification process, as notified by the ECI, should be borne by the candidate making the request.
What did the Supreme Court say?

•    "If EVM is found tampered during verification, fees paid by the candidates will be refunded," the bench said.

•    "While maintaining a balanced perspective is crucial in evaluating systems or institutions, blindly distrusting any aspect of the system can breed unwarranted scepticism...," Justice Datta said.

Who filed the petitions?

NGO Association for Democratic Reforms, one of the petitioners, had sought to reverse the poll panel's 2017 decision to replace the transparent glass on VVPAT machines with an opaque glass through which a voter can see the slip only when the light is on for seven seconds.

The petitioners have also sought the court's direction to revert to the old system of ballot papers.

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News Network
April 23,2024

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Congress workers protested outside the home of Nilesh Kumbhani, the party's candidate from Gujarat's Surat Lok Sabha seat whose nomination form was rejected due to alleged discrepancies, as he was likely to join the BJP, sources said on Tuesday.

The protest came a day after the BJP's Mukesh Dalal was declared the winner from the party stronghold following the withdrawal of all the other eight candidates in the fray.

The sources said that the protesters called Kumbhani a "traitor" and "killer of democracy", adding that he could join the BJP as early as this week.

Kumbhani's nomination form was rejected after he was unable to present even one of his three proposers before Returning Officer Sourabh Pardhi.

The BJP had raised questions about the discrepancies in the signatures of three proposers in his nomination form.

The nomination form of Suresh Padsala, the Congress' substitute candidate from Surat, was also invalidated, pushing the party out of the poll fray in the BJP stronghold.

In his order, Pardhi said the four nomination forms submitted by Kumbhani and Padsala were rejected because at first sight, discrepancies were found in the signatures of the proposers, and they did not appear genuine.

The Lok Sabha elections in the Surat seat was supposed to take place on May 7.

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News Network
April 13,2024

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New Delhi: Seventeen Indians are on board an Israeli-linked container ship that has been seized by the Iranian military amid heightened tensions between Iran and Israel.

Official sources said India is in touch with Iranian authorities through diplomatic channels, both in Tehran and in Delhi, to ensure the welfare and early release of the Indian nationals.

The Iranian action came amid increasing fears that Tehran may launch an attack on Israeli soil in retaliation to a strike on the Iranian consulate in Syria 12 days ago.

"We are aware that a cargo ship 'MSC Aries' has been taken control by Iran. We have learnt that there are 17 Indian nationals onboard," said a source.

"We are in touch with the Iranian authorities through diplomatic channels, both in Tehran and in Delhi, to ensure security, welfare and early release of Indian nationals," it said.

Reports said Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards seized MSC Aries on Saturday morning when it was sailing through the Strait of Hormuz.

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